Amakuru - Imiterere igezweho n'impinduka mu miterere y'ubucuruzi bw'ibyuma byoherezwa mu mahanga mu Bushinwa muri 2026

Mu 2026, urwego rw'ibicuruzwa byoherezwa mu mahanga mu Bushinwa rwavuguruwe cyane. Bitewe n'ingaruka ebyiri z'amategeko akaze agenga ibicuruzwa byo mu gihugu no kugabanya inyungu ku nganda z'ibyuma, ingano y'ibicuruzwa byoherezwa mu mahanga mu Bushinwa mu gihembwe cya mbere (Q1) cya 2026 yagabanutseho8% ku mwaka ku mwaka, bihagarika icyerekezo cyo gukomeza kwiyongera k'ubwinshi bw'ibicuruzwa byoherezwa mu mahanga cyari kimaze imyaka myinshi.ibikoresho by'icyuma byihariye bifite agaciro gakomeye—yagenewe amashami yihariye yo gukoresha—yageze ku iterambere ryihariye mu masoko yihariye. Iri hinduka rigaragaza ko inganda zivuye ku buryo busanzwe bwo"ibyoherezwa mu mahanga bihendutse kandi byinshi"yerekeza kuri"ishingiye ku gaciro, ishingiye ku ikoranabuhanga"ubucuruzi bwambukiranya imipaka.

imiterere y'icyuma cy'itsinda ry'icyuma cy'ubwami

Isesengura ry'imikorere y'ibicuruzwa by'icyuma cy'ingenzi byoherezwa mu mahanga

1. Icyuma gikozwe mu byuma bito (Billets)

Gushyiraho ingamba:Uburyo bwo kurenga inzitizi z'ubucuruzi no kuba ihuriro ry'umusaruro wambukiranya imipaka.

Ahantu h'ingenzi ho kujya:Aziya y'Amajyepfo y'Uburasirazuba (Viyetinamu, Indoneziya), Uburasirazuba bwo Hagati, na Afurika y'Amajyaruguru.

Bitewe n’imisoro ikomeye yo kurwanya ikoreshwa ry’ibyuma bitwikiriye, inganda z’ibyuma zo mu gihugu zahisemo gushyira imbere ibyoherezwa mu mahanga by’ibyuma bitwikiriye kugira ngo bigabanye ibyago by’ubucuruzi; mu gihembwe cya mbere cya 2026, umubare w’ibyuma byoherezwa mu mahanga wiyongereyeho260% umwaka ku mwaka. Abakora muASEANakarere katumiza ibi bikoresho by'icyuma bikozwe mu buryo bwa "semi-range" bivuye mu Bushinwa kugira ngo bikomeze gutunganywa mu bicuruzwa birangiye. Ubu buryo bw'ubufatanye bwambukiranya imipaka ntibunyuranya gusa n'inzitizi z'ubucuruzi - bityo bugakomeza kugera ku isoko mu turere duto - ahubwo bunanoza itangwa ry'ibipimo by'ibyuka bihumanya ikirere mu gihugu ndetse bugafasha mu gutuza imiyoboro y'ibyuma mu mahanga.

2. Icyuma cya Silicon

Gushyiraho ingamba:Umutanga ibikoresho by'ingenzi mu iterambere ry'ibikorwa remezo ku isi bifitanye isano n'impinduka mu by'ingufu.

Ahantu h'ingenzi ho kujya:Umuryango w’Ubumwe bw’u Burayi (EU) na Brezili (Amerika y’Epfo).

Mu rwego rwo kohereza ibyuma mu mahanga mu Bushinwa mu 2026, icyuma cya silikoni cyagaragaye nk'igice kigaragaza izamuka ry'agaciro rigaragara cyane.Amakuru ya gasutamo agaragaza ko muri Werurwe 2026, ingano y’icyuma cya silikoni kitari mu nzira yo kohereza mu mahanga yageze kuri toni 42.800, bikaba byaragaragaje amezi atatu yikurikiranya y’izamuka ry’ukwezi ku kwezi.Kuvugurura umuyoboro w'amashanyarazi wa EU, kwagura imishinga y'ingufu zishobora kongera gukoreshwa, no kubaka ibikorwa remezo byo kwishyuza imodoka zikoresha amashanyarazi (EV) bikomeje gutuma habaho icyifuzo gikomeye ku isoko ku bicuruzwa bya silikoni byo mu Bushinwa byo mu rwego rwo hejuru. Nubwo hagiye gushyirwa mu bikorwa gahunda ya "Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism" (CBAM) ya EU, ibicuruzwa bya silikoni byabonye icyemezo cyo gupima karuboni nke bigumana ubushobozi bwo guhangana ku isoko, bigatuma inyungu ziyongeraho 18% ugereranyije n'iz'ibicuruzwa bisanzwe by'ibyuma.

3. Inyubako z'ibyuma n'imiyoboro yihariye y'ubuhanga

Gushyiraho ingamba:Gukoresha imishinga minini y'ibikorwa remezo bya "Belt and Road 2.0" kugira ngo hagerwe ku kohereza ibicuruzwa mu mahanga bihujwe.

Ahantu h'ingenzi ho kujya:Uburasirazuba bwo Hagati (Arabiya Sawudite, UAE), Afurika y'Iburasirazuba (Etiyopiya, Nijeriya), na Aziya y'Amajyepfo y'Uburasirazuba (Indoneziya).

Mu ntangiriro za 2026, impinduka mu bya politiki mu Burasirazuba bwo Hagati zateje ibura ry’ibyuma byo mu rwego rwa tekiniki mu karere. Imishinga y’ingenzi—yagaragajwe n’umushinga wa "NEOM" w’umujyi w’ubwenge wa Arabiya Sawudite—yakomeje gutuma habaho icyifuzo gikomeye cy’imiyoboro minini n’ibyuma bikozwe mu buryo bwa modular.Mu 2026, igipimo cy’ubudahangarwa bw’ibicuruzwa byihariye byo mu Bushinwa mu kohereza ibicuruzwa mu mahanga cyageze kuri 96%.Ibigo by’ubucuruzi byo mu gihugu byavuye mu kohereza ibicuruzwa hanze gusa, bijya mu gutanga ibisubizo bihuriweho birimo "ibicuruzwa, serivisi z’ubuhanga, n’inkunga ya tekiniki," bityo byongera agaciro k’ibyo bicuruzwa byoherezwa mu mahanga binyuze mu kwitabira imishinga ya "Belt and Road 2.0".

4. Ibirundo by'amabati y'icyuma n'imiyoboro y'icyuma

Gushyiraho ingamba:Abagenerwabikorwa bataziguye b'ishoramari mpuzamahanga mu guhangana n'imihindagurikire y'ikirere n'ibikorwaremezo byo ku nkombe.

Ahantu h'ingenzi ho kujya:Aziya y'Amajyepfo y'Uburasirazuba (Filipine, Maleziya) na Amerika yo Hagati.

Ishoramari ku isi mu kurinda inkombe no gukumira ibiza/ibikorwa remezo byatanze imbaraga zikomeye mu kwiyongera kw'ibirundo by'ibyuma byoherezwa mu mahanga mu 2026. By'umwihariko, imishinga yo kurinda inkombe muri Filipine n'ibikorwa byo kwagura icyambu muri Panama byagize uruhare rurenga 40% by'ubwiyongere bw'ibyoherezwa mu mahanga bwagaragaye muri utu turere. Nubwo inzitizi z'ubucuruzi muri Amerika ya Ruguru zagabanyije koherezwa mu mahanga kw'ibyuma bisanzwe by'ubwubatsi, ishoramari ryiyongera ry'ubukungu bwa "Global South" mu bikorwa remezo birwanya imitingito, kurwanya imyuzure, no mu by'ubwubatsi bwo mu mazi ryatanze ishingiro rikomeye ry'ikenerwa ry'isoko ryihariye ry'ibyuma by'ubwubatsi bifite imikorere myiza.

5. Inguni z'icyuma n'imiterere yihariye y'inyubako

Gushyiraho ingamba:Gutanga serivisi ku rwego rw'isi mu kuvugurura inganda ndetse no mu ruhererekane rw'ibikoresho biremereye.

Ahantu h'ingenzi ho kujya:Ubuhinde na Megizike.

Nubwo Ubuhinde bwageze ku rwego rwo kwihaza mu byuma bisanzwe bitunganywa, inganda zabwo zikora imodoka n’imashini zikomeye zikomeje kwishingikiriza cyane ku nyubako zikomeye zituruka mu Bushinwa, aho igipimo cyo gutumiza ibicuruzwa mu mahanga kirenga 35%. Muri icyo gihe, iterambere ry’inganda zo muri Megizike ryatumye habaho ubwinshi bw’inyubako z’Abashinwa—cyane cyane mu kubaka inganda nshya n’inyubako—gushishikariza Mexique kuzavamo isoko mu 2026 nk'imwe mu masoko yihuta cyane yo kohereza ibicuruzwa by'ibyuma byihariye mu Bushinwa.

Icyerekezo cy'Ishoramari mu Kohereza mu mahanga mu 2026 mu nganda zose

Mu 2026, ibyuma byoherezwa mu mahanga mu Bushinwa biteganijwe ko bizagaragaza imiterere y’imiterere irangwa n’ “ingano nto, agaciro kanini.” Nubwo ingano y’ibyoherezwa mu mahanga buri mwaka yitezwe kugabanuka ugereranyije n’izamuka ryashyizweho mu 2024 na 2025, agaciro k’ibyoherezwa mu mahanga kose kiteguye kugera ku izamuka rya 3% kugeza kuri 5% umwaka ku mwaka, bitewe no kunoza no kuvugurura uruvange rw’ibicuruzwa.

Politiki y’uburenganzira bwo kohereza ibyuma mu mahanga, iteganijwe gushyirwa mu bikorwa mu 2026, izongera cyane imbogamizi mu kwinjira mu nganda. Kubera iyo mpamvu, umutungo w’ubucuruzi wo mu mahanga mwiza uzarushaho kwishyira hamwe mu bigo binini bya leta byujuje ibisabwa ndetse n’ibigo bikomeye byigenga bikora ibyuma bihumanya ikirere. Mu gihe tureba imbere, urwego rw’ubucuruzi bw’ibyuma mu Bushinwa rwohereza mu mahanga rwiteguye gutangira impinduka zikomeye—kuva ku rwego rwo guhangana hashingiwe ku giciro gito no guhuza ibicuruzwa yerekeza ku nzira y’iterambere yibanda ku ikoranabuhanga rihanitse, umusaruro udafite karuboni nyinshi, n’ibikoresho byihariye—bityo bigatuma imiterere y’ubucuruzi bw’ibyuma mu mahanga ikomeza kuzamuka.

ITSINDA RY'UBUFARANSA

Aderesi

Agace k'inganda ziteza imbere Kangsheng,
Intara ya Wuqing, umujyi wa Tianjin, Ubushinwa.

Imeri

admin@royalsteelgroup.com

Terefone

Cherry Yang -Umuyobozi Mukuru: +8613652091506
Wendy Wu - Umuyobozi w'Ubucuruzi: +8615222747108

Amasaha

Kuwa mbere-Ku cyumweru: Serivisi y'amasaha 24

Igihe cyo kohereza: Gicurasi-06-2026